Lecture 9: Age structure and population momentum (abbreviated example)    
  In this projection experiment we use three hypothetical populations with rather different age structure, but the same number of people* (see figures below). For the projection we assume identical fertility and mortality rates and zero migration (closed population). The populations are projected for a 100 year period (see figures next page). The experiment should help students to understand the relationship between the age structure of a population and their momentum.    
       
 

   
       
  * Please don't get confused by the visual impression: all three populations have identical population size - they just look different because each figure has its own scale. In the software you can easily switch between shared and individual scales.     
       
 

 

 
     
       
 

Copyright © 2000-2005 by Gerhard K. Heilig. All rights reserved.